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July 4th will likely come with rain as part of an unsettled week of weather in the Tampa Bay area. For those heading to any of Florida's theme parks over Fourth of July weekend, don't be surprised by the weather. See forecasts in Orlando, Tampa Southwest through Central Florida on July 4th Along the west-central coast, there is a slight chance of flash flooding. From Cape Coral through Tampa and its surrounding areas, there could be between 2 and 4 inches of rain, with some isolated areas potentially receiving up to 6 inches. Weather Forecast for July 4 in Tampa, Florida - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations. Detailed hourly weather chart. Meteosensitive people are likely to experience weather-related symptoms. Solar activity may affect some sensitive people. The Tampa Bay area is expecting a rainy Fourth of July, with the National Weather Service forecasting an 80% chance of heavy rainfall and storms on Thursday and Friday, especially from Tampa north to the Big Bend region. Tampa should expect an average of 15 to 22 days of rain, so be sure to bring along a waterproof jacket to stay dry this month! Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Tampa in July 2025. World United States Florida Weather in Tampa Weather in Tampa in July 2025 Tampa Weather Forecast for July 2025 is based on long term prognosis and previous years' statistical data. July Fourth 2025 Holiday Weekend Weather Forecast: Storms, Summertime Heat Could Factor Into Plans Here's a region-by-region look at where weather might be a factor in your plans, whether it's Soaring rain chances over the next few days will likely lead to wet weather and a soggy Fourth of July in Tampa Bay. The National Hurricane Center continues to watch the area in and around Florida Discover the most accurate weather forecast for Tampa in July 2025. Insights into temperature, precipitation, and weather trends. Florida weather forecast for July 3, 2025 Pensacola, western Panhandle: It is looking more likely that any impacts from a potential tropical system will remain well east of the area, according to Get the monthly weather forecast for Tampa, FL, including daily high/low, historical averages, to help you plan ahead. Tampa and St. Pete weather forecasts show heavy rain and the threat of flooding Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, regardless of whether a named storm develops. For those heading to any of Florida's theme parks over Fourth of July weekend, don't be surprised by the weather. See forecasts in Orlando, Tampa The heaviest rain is expected Thursday, July 3 as the monitored system moves over the state, the National Weather Service office in Ruskin/Tampa Bay said Sunday morning. Will tropical storm impact Florida on July 4 holiday? See 2 possibilities "The Fourth of July looks pretty wet overall for the state of Florida, especially the peninsula," DaSilva said. What happens over the holiday weekend all depends on where, how or if a tropical disturbance develops as it moves into the southeast. Tampa, Florida weather forecast for Friday, July 4, 2025. Get the latest on temperature, precipitation, wind speed, and UV. Plan your day with accurate weather updates. FLORIDA — As millions prepare to travel for the Fourth of July holiday, forecasters say beachgoers in Florida may want to rethink their plans. Regardless of potential tropical development off the Southeast coast, heavy rain is expected to soak much of the Sunshine State this week and into the holiday weekend. FOX Weather meteorologists Michael Estime and Bayne Froney warned Sunday that a Rain chances will steadily increase through the week, peaking with widespread coverage heading into Friday, the 4th of July at a 70% chance of rain and storms.
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